Alternating mutual influence of El-Niño/Southern Oscillation and Indian monsoon

Physics – Geophysics

Scientific paper

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Atmospheric Processes: Climate Change And Variability (1616, 1635, 3309, 4215, 4513), Atmospheric Processes: Climatology (1616, 1620, 3305, 4215, 8408), Mathematical Geophysics: Time Series Analysis (1872, 1988, 4277, 4475), Informatics: Data And Information Discovery, Informatics: Statistical Methods: Inferential (4318)

Scientific paper

Interdependence between El-Niño/Southern Oscillation and Indian monsoon is analyzed with the use of Granger causality estimation from data for the period 1871-2006. Four different versions of the Niño-3 and Niño-3.4 index are used to check robustness of the results. We reveal a non-symmetric bidirectional and even alternating character of coupling that extends previous knowledge about the presence of negative correlation and intervals of phase synchrony between the processes.

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