A Universal Bayesian Supernova Discriminator For Future Dark Energy Surveys

Mathematics – Probability

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

Upcoming large-scale ground- and space- based supernova surveys will face a challenge identifying supernova candidates without the use of spectroscopy. Over the past several years, a number of supernova identification schemes have been suggested that rely on photometric information only. Our work proposes a new photometric classification scheme that has a number of advantages over the more well-established color-color or color-magnitude identification techniques. The approach, based on calculating a likelihood ratio, allows one to include all of the systematic and statistical uncertainties of the measurements in a single step. It is also independent of the assumptions on the absolute magnitude of a supernova candidate in any given broadband filter (relying, instead, on the relative distribution of light among a number of filters). Unlike various alternative (Bayesian) probability based photometric identification schemes, the method proposed here does not require knowledge of the complete set of possible astronomical objects that a supernova candidate might conceivably be. The advantages of the technique naturally allows it to be used to pre-select and rank supernova candidates for possible spectroscopic follow-up -- i.e., to be used as a supernova trigger.

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