A straightforward estimation of the maximum sunspot number for cycle 23

Physics

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

Using the annual number of geomagnetically quiet days (aa < 20
) for the year after the solar minimum, this precursor
method predicts that the maximum sunspot number for cycle 23 will be 140
+/- 32, indicating that cycle 23 will be similar to cycles 21 and 22.

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