Physics
Scientific paper
Jul 1981
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1981chjss...1...52c&link_type=abstract
Chinese Journal of Space Sciences, vol. 1, July 1981, p. 52-56. In Chinese, with abstract in English.
Physics
Particle Emission, Particle Intensity, Proton Flux Density, Solar Protons, Statistical Analysis, Data Reduction, Solar Activity Effects, Solar Flares, Solar Radio Bursts, Time Dependence
Scientific paper
A semi-quantitative method for predicting solar proton events is presented. The technique permits estimation of the peak intensity of solar proton emission, as well as the rise time to peak levels after onset of the optical flare. A statistical analysis of data from solar proton events, as well as associated solar flare and radio burst data, revealed a 0.87 correlation coefficient between the rise time of the events and the flare heliographic longitude. Correlations for the average flux, peak flux, and the integrated flux of 8800 MHz radio burst events and the peak intensity of solar proton events were found to be 0.70, 0.68, and 0.75, respectively. It is concluded that the rise time and peak intensity of solar proton events can be forecast using observed data of solar flare longitude and fluxes detected of a 8800 MHz radio burst.
Cheng Dong-Yuan
Wu Jian-Pin
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