A simple bias correction technique for modeled monsoon precipitation applied to West Africa

Physics

Scientific paper

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Atmospheric Processes: Precipitation (1854), Atmospheric Processes: Model Calibration (1846), Atmospheric Processes: Global Climate Models (1626, 4928), Atmospheric Processes: Climate Change And Variability (1616, 1635, 3309, 4215, 4513), Atmospheric Processes: Climatology (1616, 1620, 3305, 4215, 8408)

Scientific paper

Seasonal forecast systems suffer from biases in location and intensity of precipitation for the West African monsoon which require correction especially if used for impacts modeling. A simple global bias correction technique based on empirical orthogonal function analysis has been applied specifically to the West African monsoon region. It is demonstrated to improve the operational forecasts made by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts seasonal forecasts which suffer from a systematic southerly shift in precipitation in this region.

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