A review of the carbon dioxide greenhouse problem

Details A review of the carbon dioxide greenhouse problem A review of the carbon dioxide greenhouse problem

Sep 1981

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1981p%26ss...29..935s&link_type=abstract

Planetary and Space Science, vol. 29, Sept. 1981, p. 935-950.

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Atmospheric Composition, Atmospheric Heating, Atmospheric Models, Carbon Dioxide Concentration, Climatology, Greenhouse Effect, Air Water Interactions, Atmospheric Circulation, Climate Change, Computerized Simulation, Convective Heat Transfer, Fuel Combustion, Man Environment Interactions, Radiative Heat Transfer, Surface Temperature

Scientific paper

An increase in atmospheric CO2 will produce significant climatic changes. Measurements show that if fossil fuels are considered the only source of additional atmospheric CO2 since 1958, about 54% has remained in the atmosphere, while the remaining 46% has been transferred to the oceans and biota. Calculations show a 35% increase in the ocean uptake of atmospheric CO2. Various computer models have been used to calculate the effects of increasing atmospheric CO2, including the energy balance model, the radiative-convective model, and the General Circulation Model (GCM). Feedback mechanisms, such as water vapor, clouds, oceans, and the cryosphere are also considered. NASA's GCM is considerably better than other existing models, but still requires many approximations and gives a crude treatment of ocean and cloud behavior. The models predict, based on a foreseen doubling of atmospheric CO2, an increase in global surface temperature of about 3 C, with larger increases (up to 10 deg) at higher latitudes. Significant changes in evaporation and precipitation patterns are also indicated.

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