A prediction for the maximum phase and duration of sunspot cycle 22

Details A prediction for the maximum phase and duration of sunspot cycle 22 A prediction for the maximum phase and duration of sunspot cycle 22

Sep 1988

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1988jgr....9310011w&link_type=abstract

Journal of Geophysical Research (ISSN 0148-0227), vol. 93, Sept. 1, 1988, p. 10011-10015. USAF-supported research.

Physics

18

Solar Activity, Sunspot Cycle, Long Term Effects, Scattering Amplitude

Scientific paper

A projected value of the maximum amplitude of sunspot cycle 22 is used to predict the ascent, maximum phase, and length of the cycle. It is suggested that cycle 22 will have a lower maximum amplitude than cycle 21. This would make cycle 22 a 'negative-valued' maximum amplitude first-difference cycle with an ascent with a median value of 4 years. Cycle 22 is predicted to be a long-period cycle with a length in the range of 138 + or - 8 months. It is concluded that cycle 22 will probably peak sometime in the latter half of 1990 or the first half of 1991 and that it will not end until early to mid 1998.

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