A Monte Carlo Approach to Joe DiMaggio and Streaks in Baseball

Details A Monte Carlo Approach to Joe DiMaggio and Streaks in Baseball A Monte Carlo Approach to Joe DiMaggio and Streaks in Baseball

2008-07-31

arxiv.org/abs/0807.5082v2

Physics

Popular Physics

14 pages, 10 figures; typos corrected, acknowledgments added

Scientific paper

We examine Joe DiMaggio's 56-game hitting streak and look at its likelihood, using a number of simple models. And it turns out that, contrary to many people's expectations, an extreme streak, while unlikely in any given year, is not unlikely to have occurred about once within the history of baseball. Surprisingly, however, such a record should have occurred far earlier in baseball history: back in the late 1800's or early 1900's. But not in 1941, when it actually happened.

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