A modular radiation-belt electron flux model

Physics

Scientific paper

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2774 Radiation Belts, 2788 Magnetic Storms And Substorms (7954)

Scientific paper

We present a time-dependent model for the energetic electron flux in Earth's radiation belts developed from measurements by several spacecraft in the radiation belts (POLAR, SAMPEX, Akebono, HEO, and GOES) and the solar wind (ACE, WIND). The flux is a function of L shell (1-11), particle energy (0.8-6.4 MeV) and time. A different module is developed for each one of five radial regions: main outer belt, belt-slot boundary, slot, inner belt, and belt-plasma sheet boundary. The model response depends on three types of geoeffective interplanetary structure (CME/ejecta, high-speed stream, or quiet solar wind). We discuss next-day forecasts of the model comparing its skill to that of linear models.

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