Physics
Scientific paper
May 1995
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1995angeo..13..567a&link_type=abstract
Annales Geophysicae (ISSN 0992-7689), vol. 13, no. 5, p. 567-571
Physics
Atmospheric Models, Clouds (Meteorology), Precipitation (Meteorology), Regression Analysis, Statistical Weather Forecasting, Atmospheric Temperature, Correlation Coefficients, Predictions, Turkey, Vertical Air Currents
Scientific paper
The purpose of this study is to establish a relation between observed total precipitation values and estimations from a one-dimensional diagnstic cloud model. Total precipitation values estimated from maximum liquid water content, maximum vertical velocity, cloud top height, and temperature excess are also used to provide an eqution for the total precipitation prediction. Data for this study were collected in Istanbul during the autumns of 1987 and 1988. TThe statistical models are developed with mutiple regression technique and then comparatively verified with independent data for 1990. The multiple regression coefficients are in the range of 75% to 80% in the statistical models. Results of the test showed that the total precipitation values estimated from the above techniques are in good agreement, with correlation coefficient between 40% and 46% based on test data for 1990.
Aslan Zafer
Gultepe I.
Kadioglu Mikdat
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