Southern Ocean warming due to human influence

Details Southern Ocean warming due to human influence Southern Ocean warming due to human influence

Oct 2006

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2006georl..3319701f&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 33, Issue 19, CiteID L19701

Physics

12

Global Change: Oceans (1616, 3305, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Global Climate Models (3337, 4928), Global Change: Regional Climate Change

Scientific paper

I show that the latest series of climate models reproduce the observed mid-depth Southern Ocean warming since the 1950s if they include time-varying changes in anthropogenic greenhouse gases, sulphate aerosols and volcanic aerosols in the Earth's atmosphere. The remarkable agreement between observations and state-of-the art climate models suggests significant human influence on Southern Ocean temperatures. I also show that climate models that do not include volcanic aerosols produce mid-depth Southern Ocean warming that is nearly double that produced by climate models that do include volcanic aerosols. This implies that the full effect of human-induced warming of the Southern Ocean may yet to be realized.

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