The long-term implications of operating satellite constellations in the low earth orbit debris environment

Details The long-term implications of operating satellite constellations in the low earth orbit debris environment The long-term implications of operating satellite constellations in the low earth orbit debris environment

May 1997

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1997adspr..19..355w&link_type=abstract

Advances in Space Research, Volume 19, Issue 2, p. 355-358.

Physics

1

Scientific paper

DRA's Integrated Debris Evolution Suite (IDES) model is used in this study to predict the future evolution of the orbital debris environment for two distinct scenarios. For the first case, a pre-generated background debris population for 1995 and `business as usual' future launch/explosion rates are used as input to the model. IDES then employs its collision event prediction algorithm to simulate evolution from 1996 to 2020 as a baseline. The second scenario uses the same initial conditions and future trends, but in addition, a large constellation is introduced into the simulation process from year 1998 onwards. The additional contribution of the constellation to the temporal variation of key environment/population parameters is presented; including enhancement from any long-term collision coupling effects.

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