On the unpredictability of geomagnetic secular variation

Details On the unpredictability of geomagnetic secular variation On the unpredictability of geomagnetic secular variation

Sep 1985

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1985pepi...39..293m&link_type=abstract

(American Geophysical Union, Session on Irregularities in the Secular Variation and Geodynamic Implications, Cincinnati, OH, May

Physics

1

Geomagnetism, Secular Variations, Predictions

Scientific paper

Methods for predicting the secular variation of geomagnetic field components are tested by applying them to data for a single component at a single station at Greenwich, England. Consideration is given to global schemes, local schemes, and the expansion of spherical harmonic coefficients as Taylor series. It is shown that no single method is adequate for estimating secular variations for more than a few years.

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