Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: a semi-parametric model for the mean trajectory

Details Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: a semi-parametric model for the mean trajectory Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: a semi-parametric model for the mean trajectory

2005-03-31

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0503231v1

Physics

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

Scientific paper

We present a statistical model for the unconditional mean tracks of hurricanes. Our model is a semi-parametric scheme that averages together observed hurricane displacements. It has a single parameter that defines the averaging length scale, and we derive the optimum value for this parameter using a jackknife. The main purpose of this model is as a starting point for developing a statistical model of hurricanes for use in the estimation of the wind, rainfall and flooding risks. The model also acts as an optimal filtering tool for estimating mean hurricane tracks.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: a semi-parametric model for the mean trajectory does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: a semi-parametric model for the mean trajectory, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: a semi-parametric model for the mean trajectory will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-721155