Predicting hurricane regional landfall rates: comparing local and basin-wide track model approaches

Details Predicting hurricane regional landfall rates: comparing local and basin-wide track model approaches Predicting hurricane regional landfall rates: comparing local and basin-wide track model approaches

2006-11-10

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0611103v1

Physics

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

Scientific paper

We compare two methods for making predictions of the climatological distribution of the number of hurricanes making landfall along short sections of the North American coastline. The first method uses local data, and the second method uses a basin-wide track model. Using cross-validation we show that the basin-wide track model gives better predictions for almost all parts of the coastline. This is the first time such a comparison has been made, and is the first rigourous justification for the use of basin-wide track models for predicting hurricane landfall rates and hurricane risk.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

Predicting hurricane regional landfall rates: comparing local and basin-wide track model approaches does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with Predicting hurricane regional landfall rates: comparing local and basin-wide track model approaches, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Predicting hurricane regional landfall rates: comparing local and basin-wide track model approaches will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-566635