The predictability problem in systems with an uncertainty in the evolution law

Details The predictability problem in systems with an uncertainty in the evolution law The predictability problem in systems with an uncertainty in the evolution law

1999-01-13

arxiv.org/abs/chao-dyn/9901013v1

Jour. Phys. A 33, 1313-1324 (2000)

Nonlinear Sciences

Chaotic Dynamics

20 pages RevTeX, 6 eps figures (included)

Scientific paper

10.1088/0305-4470/33/7/302

The problem of error growth due to the incomplete knowledge of the evolution law which rules the dynamics of a given physical system is addressed. Major interest is devoted to the analysis of error amplification in systems with many characteristic times and scales. The importance of a proper parameterization of fast scales in systems with many strongly interacting degrees of freedom is highlighted and its consequences for the modelization of geophysical systems are discussed.

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