Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: modelling cyclone lysis

Details Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: modelling cyclone lysis Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: modelling cyclone lysis

2005-12-10

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0512091v1

Physics

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

Scientific paper

We describe results from the fifth stage of a project to build a statistical
model of tropical cyclone tracks. The previous stages considered genesis and
the shape of tracks. We now consider in more detail how to represent the lysis
(death) of tropical cyclones. Improving the lysis model turns out to bring a
significant improvement to the track model overall.

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