Updating seismic hazard at Parkfield

Details Updating seismic hazard at Parkfield Updating seismic hazard at Parkfield

2004-10-30

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0411003v3

Physics

Geophysics

Accepted for publication in Journal of Seismology

Scientific paper

The occurrence of the September 28, 2004 Mw=6.0 mainshock at Parkfield, California, has significantly increased the mean and aperiodicity of the series of time intervals between mainshocks in this segment of the San Andreas fault. We use five different statistical distributions as renewal models to fit this new series and to estimate the time-dependent probability of the next Parkfield mainshock. Three of these distributions (lognormal, gamma and Weibull) are frequently used in reliability and time-to-failure problems. The other two come from physically-based models of earthquake recurrence (the Brownian Passage Time Model and the Minimalist Model). The differences resulting from these five renewal models are emphasized.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

Updating seismic hazard at Parkfield does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with Updating seismic hazard at Parkfield, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Updating seismic hazard at Parkfield will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-511327