Physics
Scientific paper
Jun 2009
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2009georl..3612805c&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 36, Issue 12, CiteID L12805
Physics
9
Global Change: Climate Variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Climate Dynamics (0429, 3309), Hydrology: Precipitation (3354), Global Change: Oceans (1616, 3305, 4215, 4513), Oceanography: Physical: Enso (4922)
Scientific paper
Both El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and ENSO Modoki affect Australian rainfall but the commonalities and contrasts of their impacts have not been fully explored. We show that both types feature a strong asymmetry between impacts of La Niña and El Niño in austral autumn (March-May) the La Niña-Australian rainfall teleconnection is statistically significant, whereas the El Niño-Australian rainfall relationship is not. A La Niña Modoki cold anomaly near the Dateline is effective in shifting convection westward, causing an autumn rainfall increase over northwestern Australia extending to the northern Murray-Darling Basin, rather than over the east as in a conventional La Niña. During an El Niño Modoki, the tendency for lower Australian rainfall is far weaker. The asymmetry explains the strong inter-ENSO variations in rainfall anomalies, including 1983, when a strong El Niño residual was associated with a wet autumn. Our results highlight the importance of considering the influence from La Niña Modoki in predicting ENSO's impacts.
Cai Weiran
Cowan Tim
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