Physics
Scientific paper
Sep 1987
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1987natur.329..142r&link_type=abstract
Nature, Volume 329, Issue 6135, pp. 142-143 (1987).
Physics
32
Scientific paper
Recent measurements1 have shown that the total solar irradiance decreased at a rate of 0.019% per year between 1980 and 1985, and may still be decreasing. Presumably, this reflects a cyclical variation that may or may not be related to the well-known cycles of solar activity. Using data on globally averaged sea surface temperature (SST) over the past 120 yr2, I show that the solar irradiance may have varied in phase with the 80-90 yr cycle represented by the envelope of the 11-yr solar-activity cycle. As the last peak of this cycle occurred in 1955-60, the next minimum should be reached about the end of the century, by which time the solar irradiance will be reduced from its peak value by ~1% if the present decay rate of 0.019% per year is typical.
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