Seasonal prediction of Danube flow variability based on stable teleconnection with sea surface temperature

Details Seasonal prediction of Danube flow variability based on stable teleconnection with sea surface temperature Seasonal prediction of Danube flow variability based on stable teleconnection with sea surface temperature

Nov 2005

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2005georl..3221704r&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 32, Issue 21, CiteID L21704

Physics

6

Global Change: Climate Dynamics (0429, 3309), Global Change: Regional Climate Change, Hydrology: Climate Impacts, Hydrology: Hydrometeorology, Atmospheric Processes: General Circulation (1223)

Scientific paper

It is shown that spring Danube flow anomalies are significantly related to winter SST anomalies from several key regions. These areas are identified through stable teleconnections between flow and SST. A forecast scheme is developed and applied to predict flow anomalies using SST anomalies from these key regions. Small potential predictability of winter flow anomalies from autumn sea surface temperature anomalies was also detected. The predictability of the flow anomalies from summer and autumn using SST from the previous seasons is limited by the instability of teleconnections.

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