Method for the short-term prediction of f0F2 using observational data

Physics

Scientific paper

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Atmospheric Models, Earth Ionosphere, F 2 Region, Forecasting, Solar Terrestrial Interactions, Ionospheric Disturbances, Periodic Variations, Regression Analysis, Sunspots

Scientific paper

It is suggested that a modified version of the McNish-Lincoln method (commonly used to predict sunspot numbers) be used for the short-term prediction of f0F2 (the critical frequency of the F2 layer). It is shown that, for predictions 2 to 24 hours in advance depending on heliographic conditions, the proposed method provides for a higher prediction accuracy than the methods employed in the ionospheric service.

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