Shuttle program. Solar activity prediction of sunspot numbers, predicted solar radio flux

Physics

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Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Activity, Sunspot Cycle, Atmospheric Density, Mission Planning, Satellite Lifetime, Solar Flux, Solar Radio Emission

Scientific paper

A solar activity prediction technique for monthly mean sunspot numbers over a period of approximately ten years from February 1979 to January 1989 is presented. This includes the predicted maximum epoch of solar cycle 21, approximately January 1980, and the predicted minimum epoch of solar cycle 22, approximately March 1987. Additionally, the solar radio flux 10.7 centimeter smooth values are included for the same time frame using a smooth 13 month empirical relationship. The incentive for predicting solar activity values is the requirement of solar flux data as input to upper atmosphere density models utilized in mission planning satellite orbital lifetime studies.

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