The 1997 ENSO event and implication for North American Laurentian Great Lakes winter severity and ice cover

Physics

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Oceanography: Physical: El Nino, Information Related To Geographic Region: Large Bodies Of Water (E.G., Lakes And Inland Seas), Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Climatology, Information Related To Geographic Region: North America

Scientific paper

Mild winters and below-average annual maximum ice cover for the Laurentian Great Lakes occur during strong warm ENSO events. During the six strongest warm ENSO events since 1950 a Great Lakes winter severity temperature index and simulated annual maximum ice cover averaged 1.2°C above and 15% below a 1950-1994 average, respectively. The observed differences between the average of the strong ENSO event years and the base period average are statistically significant.

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