A new model for the calculation and prediction of solar proton fluences

Details A new model for the calculation and prediction of solar proton fluences A new model for the calculation and prediction of solar proton fluences

Jan 1990

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1990aiaa.meetq....f&link_type=abstract

AIAA, Aerospace Sciences Meeting, 28th, Reno, NV, Jan. 8-11, 1990. 8 p.

Physics

Earth Magnetosphere, Earth Orbital Environments, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Flares, Solar Protons, Spacecraft Orbits, Data Bases, Solar Cycles, Solar Radiation

Scientific paper

A new predictive engineering model for the energy greater than 10 MeV and greater than 30 MeV solar proton environment at earth is reviewed. The data used are from observations made from 1956 through 1985. In this data set, the distinction between 'ordinary events' and 'anomalously large events' that was required in earlier models disappeared. This permitted the use of statistical analysis methods developed for ordinary events on the entire data set. The greater than 10-MeV fluences with the new model are about twice those expected on the basis of earlier models. At energies greater than 30 MeV, the old and new models agree.

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