On Using the Weimer Statistical Model for Real-Time Ionospheric Specifications and Forecasts

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2431 Ionosphere/Magnetosphere Interactions (2736), 2447 Modeling And Forecasting, 2463 Plasma Convection, 2475 Polar Cap Ionosphere

Scientific paper

The Weimer statistical model (Weimer, 2001) for the high-latitude convection pattern was tested with regard to its ability to produce real-time convection patterns. This work is being conducted under the polar section of GAIM (Global Assimilation of Ionospheric Measurements). The method adopted involves the comparison of the cross-track ion drift velocities measured by DMSP satellites with those calculated from the Weimer model. Starting with a Weimer pattern obtained using real-time IMF and solar wind data at the time of a DMSP satellite pass in the high-latitude ionosphere, the cross-track ion drift velocities along the DMSP track were calculated from the Weimer convection model and compared to those measured by the DMSP satellite. Then, in order to improve the agreement between the measurement and the model, two of the input parameters to the model, the IMF clock-angle and the solar wind speed, were varied to get the pattern that gives the best agreement with the DMSP satellite measurements. Four months of data (March, July, September, and December 1998) were used to test the Weimer model. The result shows that the agreement between the measurement and the Weimer model is improved by using this procedure. The Weimer model is good in a statistical sense, it was able to produce the large-scale structure in most cases. However, it is not good enough to be used for real-time ionospheric specifications and forecasts because it failed to produce a lot of the mesoscale structure measured along most DMSP satellite passes. Reference Weimer, D. R., J. Geophys. Res., 106, 407,2001

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