Predicting the Onset of Solar Cycles

Details Predicting the Onset of Solar Cycles Predicting the Onset of Solar Cycles

May 2008

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2008agusmsp23a..03s&link_type=abstract

American Geophysical Union, Spring Meeting 2008, abstract #SP23A-03

Physics

7536 Solar Activity Cycle (2162)

Scientific paper

We have found a highly sensitive magnetic flux ratio that can track the evolution of the solar activity cycle and then be used to predict the onset of an upcoming solar cycle with unprecedented accuracy. On this basis, the onset of Cycle 24 will be delayed by at least 8 months and by upto 14 months relative the timing of the two previous cycles. This would make Cycle 23 about 11.5 (+/- 0.3) years long as measured from onset to onset, about a year longer than Cycles 21 and 22.

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