Physics
Scientific paper
Jul 2008
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2008georl..3513802j&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 35, Issue 13, CiteID L13802
Physics
Atmospheric Processes: Tropical Meteorology, Oceanography: Physical: Tsunamis And Storm Surges, Atmospheric Processes: Ocean/Atmosphere Interactions (0312, 4504)
Scientific paper
We examine the best track wind speed data for all U.S. landfalling hurricanes between 1986 and 2007 to determine the relationship between wind speed and observed maximum storm surge heights at the coast. We show that pre-landfall intensity correlates significantly better with observed maximum surge heights than landfall intensity does. This outcome is not a result of outliers skewing the data, but is representative of a more definitive trend. We anticipate that our findings will lead to a reconsideration of the way wind is used as a surge predictor, and we believe that our findings provide a possible explanation for why some tropical cyclones' storm surges tend to over/under perform with respect to official storm surge forecasts.
Clayson Carol Anne
Jordan Mark R.
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