The Unknown and the Uncertain in Earth System Modeling

Details The Unknown and the Uncertain in Earth System Modeling The Unknown and the Uncertain in Earth System Modeling

Nov 2006

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2006eostr..87..496l&link_type=abstract

Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Volume 87, Issue 45, p. 496-499

Physics

3

Global Change: Earth System Modeling (1225), Cryosphere: Biogeochemistry (0412, 0414, 1615, 4805, 4912)

Scientific paper

With the planet heating up, the urgent need to reduce uncertainty in climate projections could have consequences in the way Earth system models evolve. I argue that a period of confusion in the development of models can be beneficial and can lead to improved understanding and reduced uncertainty in due time. I have identified three phases of development in I have identified three phases of development in modeling- the illusion, the chaos, and the relief- through which models seem to evolve before their results can be said to approach the truth with some confidence.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

The Unknown and the Uncertain in Earth System Modeling does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with The Unknown and the Uncertain in Earth System Modeling, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and The Unknown and the Uncertain in Earth System Modeling will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-1314236