Using dynamo theory to predict the sunspot number during solar cycle 21

Details Using dynamo theory to predict the sunspot number during solar cycle 21 Using dynamo theory to predict the sunspot number during solar cycle 21

May 1978

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1978georl...5..411s&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 5, May 1978, p. 411-414. Research supported by the Max C. Fleischmann Foundation

Physics

86

Dynamo Theory, Magnetic Flux, Solar Activity, Solar Magnetic Field, Sunspot Cycle, Sunspots, Solar Corona, Solar Eclipses

Scientific paper

On physical grounds it is suggested that the polar field strength of the sun near a solar minimum is closely related to the solar activity of the following cycle. Four methods of estimating the polar magnetic field strength of the sun near solar minimum are employed to provide an estimate of the yearly mean sunspot number of cycle 21 at solar maximum of 140 + or - 20. This estimate may be considered a first-order attempt to predict the cycle activity using one parameter of physical importance based upon dynamo theory.

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