Physics
Scientific paper
Dec 1981
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1981vsc..conf..241b&link_type=abstract
In NASA. Goddard Space Flight Center Variations of the Solar Constant p 241-255 (SEE N82-17014 07-92)
Physics
Carbon Dioxide, Climate, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Cycles, Solar Magnetic Field, Tides, Climatology, Lunar Tides, Solar Physics, Theoretical Physics
Scientific paper
To provide an early warning indication of the CO2 warning signal, we are searching for periodic or projectable trends in climate. The strong 20.5 year oscillation in Eastern North American January temperature found by Mock and Hibler shows evidence of a beat between waves with periods of 22.36 (22.21 to 22.55) years and 18.64 (18.45 to 18.79) years with an opposition at about 1880. These are interpreted to be the 22.279 year solar Hale magnetic cycle and the 18.61 year lunar nodal tidal cycle. The lunar nodal cycle is known to produce changes in the sea surface temperature through increased mixing of the mixed layer of the ocean. This beat note is shown to be evident in the Western High Plains drought record of Mitchell, Stockton and Meko and to provide a better bit to the drought series, especially at the beat oppositions in 1880 and 1770.
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