Physics
Scientific paper
Aug 2004
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2004ep%26s...56..823j&link_type=abstract
Earth, Planets and Space, Volume 56, p. 823-830.
Physics
3
Scientific paper
We extended the analyses of temporal variation of coda Q-1 and seismicity by Jin and Aki (1989, 1993) for central and southern California to year 2003. We use the relative frequency N(Mc) of earthquakes in a certain magnitude range around Mc characteristic to a seismic region to quantify the seismicity. The cross-correlation function between coda Q-1 and N(Mc) is calculated using a 10-year moving time window . The correlation coefficient for the entire period of about 60 years is peaked at the zero-time shift with the value close to 0.8 for both regions. We found, however, the simultaneous correlation is disturbed before major earthquakes. The disturbance is, consistently, a delay in the change of coda Q-1 relative to that of N(Mc) before the occurrence of a major earthquake. We attribute the temporal change in coda Q-1 to fractures in the ductile part of the lithosphere and that in N(Mc) to the response of the brittle part to the ductile fracture. We believe that Mc characteristic to a seismic region is originated from a characteristic size of fractures in the ductile zone of the lithosphere. The observed delay of coda Q-1 change relative to N(Mc) before a major earthquake can be explained simply by the strain energy stored in the brittle part of lithosphere reaching a saturation limit and starting to flow back to the ductile part.
Aki Kutvonen
Jin A.
Keilis-Borok Vladimir. I.
Liu Zhiyi
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