Dependence of SSNM on SSNm - a Reconsideration for Predicting the Amplitude of a Sunspot Cycle

Details Dependence of SSNM on SSNm - a Reconsideration for Predicting the Amplitude of a Sunspot Cycle Dependence of SSNM on SSNm - a Reconsideration for Predicting the Amplitude of a Sunspot Cycle

Dec 2000

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2000soph..197..421r&link_type=abstract

Solar Physics, v. 197, Issue 2, p. 421-424 (2000).

Physics

5

Scientific paper

An improved correlation between maximum sunspot number (SSN_M) and the preceding minimum (SSN_m) is reported when the monthly mean sunspot numbers are smoothed with a 13-month running window. This relation allows prediction of the amplitude of a sunspot cycle by making use of the sunspot data alone. The estimated smoothed maximum sunspot number (126+/-26) and time of maximum epoch (second half of 2000) of cycle 23 are in good agreement with the predictions made by some of the precursor methods.

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