Short-term predictions of solar flares

Details Short-term predictions of solar flares Short-term predictions of solar flares

Aug 1990

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1990ge%26ae..30..538b&link_type=abstract

Geomagnetizm i Aeronomiia (ISSN 0016-7940), vol. 30, July-Aug. 1990, p. 538-544. In Russian.

Physics

Boolean Functions, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Flares, Pattern Recognition, Solar Physics, Stellar Models

Scientific paper

The solar-flare prediction problem is formulated in terms of Boolean logic; the comparsion of truth tables with conjugacy tables is considered. The introduction of some very general assumptions makes it possible to formulate a general approach to the development of prediction schemes and to the selection of model elements and informative features. Experimental results are presented on the verification of several prediction methods. Particular attention is given to a method for the routine short-term prediction of flares on the basis of a pattern-recognition learning methodology. Results obtained with this method for the 1986-1988 period are discussed.

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