Comments on a formula describing the secular course of sunspot activity

Physics

Scientific paper

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Prediction Analysis Techniques, Secular Variations, Solar Activity, Sunspots, Difference Equations, Harmonic Oscillators, Random Variables, Sine Waves, Sunspot Cycle

Scientific paper

A method proposed by Henkel for long-term forecasting of solar activity
is discussed. The prediction formula is interpreted as the equation of
an oscillatory motion of nonstationary character. Estimates of the
predictive accuracy are given.

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