On the behavior of the sunspot cycle near minimum

Details On the behavior of the sunspot cycle near minimum On the behavior of the sunspot cycle near minimum

Sep 1996

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1996jgr...10119967w&link_type=abstract

Journal of Geophysical Research, Volume 101, Issue A9, p. 19967-19972

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astrophysics

21

Solar Physics, Astrophysics, And Astronomy: Magnetic Fields, And Astronomy: Photosphere, And Astronomy: Solar Activity Cycle, And Astronomy: Stellar Interiors And Dynamo Theory

Scientific paper

The decline of cycle 22 is shown to be consistent with the notion that it will have a period <11 years. On the basis of the modern era of sunspot cycles, the average length of short-period cycles has been 123+/-3 months, suggesting that onset for cycle 23 will be about December 1996 (+/-3 months). As yet, no high-latitude (25° or more) new cycle spots have been reported. Because the occurrence of a high-latitude new cycle spot group has always preceded conventional cycle onset by at least 3 months, one infers that its occurrence is most imminent.

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