Transit and Eclipse Probabilities of Intermediate and Long-Period Exoplanets

Mathematics – Probability

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

Transiting exoplanets provide an opportunity to study mass-radius relation and internal structure of extrasolar planets. Long-period transiting planets allow insight into planetary environments similar to the Solar System where, in contrast to hot Jupiters, planets are not constantly exposed to the intense radiation of their parent stars. Observations of secondary eclipses additionally permit studies of exoplanet temperatures and large-scale exo-atmospheric properties. We show the dependence of transit and eclipse probabilities upon eccentricity and argument of periastron and illustrate resulting selection and observational strategies involved in our photometric survey of radial-velocity planets with the aim of detecting transit signatures. In addition to the effects of orbital eccentricity and argument of periastron upon transit probability, we elaborate on the implication of the presence/absence of observed transits for the observability of secondary eclipses.

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