Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astrophysics
Scientific paper
Mar 2008
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2008georl..3506s08x&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 35, Issue 6, CiteID L06S08
Astronomy and Astrophysics
Astrophysics
4
Solar Physics, Astrophysics, And Astronomy: Coronal Mass Ejections (2101), Space Weather: Magnetic Storms (2788), Space Weather: Forecasting (2722), Solar Physics, Astrophysics, And Astronomy: Solar Activity Cycle (2162)
Scientific paper
We investigate the effects of solar wind dynamic pressure, P dyn , and preconditioning in 88 large magnetic storms (Dst < -100 nT) occurring during solar cycle 23. We have developed an improved model of the Dst profile, based on a modified Burton equation, where additional effects of P dyn and diminished Dst pressure-correction have been taking into account. On the average, our model predicts the Dst peak values within 9% of observations and gives an overall RMS error of 11%, which is an improvement over those models whose injection functions only depend on the solar wind electric field. The results demonstrate that there is an increase in the Dst peak value when there is a large enhancement of P dyn during the main phase of a storm. The average increase of the storm intensity is estimated to be 26% for 15 storms with the max (P dyn ) > 15 nPa. We find that the preconditioning in multi-step Dst storms plays no significant role in strengthening the storm intensity, but increases the storm duration.
Cyr Orville Chris St.
Gopalswamy Nat
Xie Hehu
Yashiro Seiji
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