On the connection between the multifractality and the predictability from the auroral index time series

Details On the connection between the multifractality and the predictability from the auroral index time series On the connection between the multifractality and the predictability from the auroral index time series

Jul 2008

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2008pobeo..84..511z&link_type=abstract

Publications of the Astronomical Observatory of Belgrade, vol. 84, pp. 511-514

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astronomy

Scientific paper

We analyze the Auroral Electrojet (AE) index data from the period of Solar minimum and maximum, with respect to their predictability and intermittency. Neural networks are employed to predict the behavior of the AE- data for the different intermittent intervals, as well as recurrence plots where these intervals are visualized. We also compute the multifractal singularity spectrum as additional evidence for the existence of intermittency, and show that this spectrum is independent of the Solar activity.

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