Interannual variability in the global uptake of CO2

Mathematics – Logic

Scientific paper

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Oceanography: General: Climate And Interannual Variability (3309), Oceanography: Physical: Capillary Waves, Oceanography: Biological And Chemical: Carbon Cycling, Oceanography: Biological And Chemical: Gases

Scientific paper

A major uncertainty are the causes for interannual variability of the global ocean uptake of CO2. Existing estimates, based on atmospheric CO2 data, indicate that peak-to-peak interannual variability in ocean uptake of CO2 is up to 2-4 Pg C year-1 (Pg = 1015 g), while those estimates based on ocean observations and models suggest that year-to-year variability is much smaller (~0.4-0.8 Pg C year-1). Here, it is shown that these differences can be partly reconciled if global air-sea CO2 flux estimates include the CO2 flux associated with tropical cyclones (TC), extra-tropical cyclones (ETC), and new air-sea CO2 gas exchange relationships. The impact of storm events on air-sea CO2 flux is influenced by climate variability such as the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), contributing to an interannual peak-to-peak variability in global ocean uptake of CO2 of up to ~1.8 Pg C year-1.

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