Does a low solar cycle minimum hint at a weak upcoming cycle?

Details Does a low solar cycle minimum hint at a weak upcoming cycle? Does a low solar cycle minimum hint at a weak upcoming cycle?

2010-08-14

arxiv.org/abs/1008.2448v1

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astrophysics

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics

5 pages, 2 figures. Accepted by RAA

Scientific paper

The maximum amplitude (Rm) of a solar cycle, in the term of mean sunspot numbers, is well-known to be positively correlated with the preceding minimum (Rmin). So far as the long term trend is concerned, a low level of Rmin tends to be followed by a weak Rm, and vice versa. In this paper, we found that the evidence is insufficient to infer a very weak Cycle 24 from the very low Rmin in the preceding cycle. This is concluded by analyzing the correlation in the temporal variations of parameters for two successive cycles.

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