On the number of allelic types for samples taken from exchangeable coalescents with mutation

Mathematics – Probability

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21 pages

Scientific paper

Let $K_n$ denote the number of types of a sample of size $n$ taken from an exchangeable coalescent process ($\Xi$-coalescent) with mutation. A distributional recursion for the sequence $(K_n)_{n\in{\mathbb N}}$ is derived. If the coalescent does not have proper frequencies, i.e., if the characterizing measure $\Xi$ on the infinite simplex $\Delta$ does not have mass at zero and satisfies $\int_\Delta |x|\Xi(dx)/(x,x)<\infty$, where $|x|:=\sum_{i=1}^\infty x_i$ and $(x,x):=\sum_{i=1}^\infty x_i^2$ for $x=(x_1,x_2,...)\in\Delta$, then $K_n/n$ converges weakly as $n\to\infty$ to a limiting variable $K$ which is characterized by an exponential integral of the subordinator associated with the coalescent process. For so-called simple measures $\Xi$ satisfying $\int_\Delta\Xi(dx)/(x,x)<\infty$ we characterize the distribution of $K$ via a fixed-point equation.

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