Risk bounds for time series without strong mixing

Statistics – Machine Learning

Scientific paper

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10 pages, 1 figures

Scientific paper

We show how to control the generalization error of time series models wherein
past values of the outcome are used to predict future values. The results are
based on a generalization of standard IID concentration inequalities to
dependent data. We show how these concentration inequalities behave under
different versions of dependence to provide some intuition for our methods.

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