Relating space radiation environments to risk estimates

Mathematics – Logic

Scientific paper

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Astronauts, Biological Effects, Carcinogens, Cosmic Rays, Extraterrestrial Radiation, Linear Energy Transfer (Let), Pathogenesis, Radiation Dosage, Radiation Effects, Risk, Space Flight, Assessments, Estimates, Organs

Scientific paper

This lecture will provide a bridge from the physical energy or LET spectra as might be calculated in an organ to the risk of carcinogenesis, a particular concern for extended missions to the moon or beyond to Mars. Topics covered will include (1) LET spectra expected from galactic cosmic rays, (2) probabilities that individual cell nuclei in the body will be hit by heavy galactic cosmic ray particles, (3) the conventional methods of calculating risks from a mixed environment of high and low LET radiation, (4) an alternate method which provides certain advantages using fluence-related risk coefficients (risk cross sections), and (5) directions for future research and development of these ideas.

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