Multi-spacecraft testing of time-dependent interplanetary MHD models for operational forecasting of geomagnetic storms

Computer Science

Scientific paper

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Geomagnetism, Interplanetary Medium, Magnetic Storms, Satellite Observation, Space Plasmas, Interplanetary Magnetic Fields, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Wind, Time Dependence

Scientific paper

An MHD 2-1/2D, time-dependent model is used, together with observations of six solar flares during February 3-7, 1986, to demonstrate global, large-scale, compound disturbances in the solar wind over a wide range of heliolongitudes. This scenario is one that is likely to occur many times during the cruise, possibly even encounter, phases of the Multi-Comet Mission. It is suggested that a model such as this one should be tested with multi-spacecraft data (such as the MCM and earth-based probes) with several goals in view: (1) utility of the model for operational real-time forecasting of geomagnetic storms, and (2) scientific interpretation of certain forms of cometary activities and their possible association with solar-generated activity.

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