Orbit improvement for GEO objects using follow-up observations

Mathematics – Probability

Scientific paper

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Space Debris, Geosynchronous Orbit, Optical Observations

Scientific paper

During the preceding years, the Astronomical Institute of the University of Bern (AIUB) was conducting several search campaigns for space debris in the geostationary ring (GEO). The optical observations were performed with a 1-m Ritchey-Chrétien telescope on Tenerife. A substantial population of unknown, small-sized objects was found in these surveys. For all objects a circular orbit was determined using the discovery observations. In order to test the hypothesis of circular orbits - which most likely is not valid for all detected objects - it is necessary to determine eccentricities for at least a part of the population. This in turn requires follow-up observations of the detected objects. The improved orbits resulting from follow-up observations also increase the probability for a successful recovery of the object in subsequent nights. Eventually, follow-up observations over several nights yield ``secure'' orbits allowing to build up a catalogue. In this paper we present the results of the determination of circular orbits and the orbit improvement process yielding elliptical orbits. The accuracy of the determined orbits is discussed, and the orbit quality is tested with follow-up observations after a few nights. The orbital elements are compared with those based on the assumption of circular orbits.

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