Obtaining Reliable Predictions of Terrestrial Energy Coupling From Real-Time Solar Wind Measurements

Computer Science

Scientific paper

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Interplanetary Magnetic Fields, Real Time Operation, Solar Wind, Magnetic Measurement, Predictions, Models, Artificial Satellites, Attitude (Inclination), Coupling

Scientific paper

Measurements of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) from the ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer), Wind, IMP-8 (Interplanetary Monitoring Platform), and Geotail spacecraft have revealed that the IMF variations are contained in phase planes that are tilted with respect to the propagation direction, resulting in continuously variable changes in propagation times between spacecraft, and therefore, to the Earth. Techniques for using 'minimum variance analysis' have been developed in order to be able to measure the phase front tilt angles, and better predict the actual propagation times from the L1 orbit to the Earth, using only the real-time IMF measurements from one spacecraft. The use of empirical models with the IMF measurements at L1 from ACE (or future satellites) for predicting 'space weather' effects has also been demonstrated.

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