A review of short-term flare forecasting activities at Toyokawa

Computer Science

Scientific paper

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Forecasting, Japan, Proton Flux Density, Solar Activity, Solar Observatories, Magnetic Fields, Microwaves, Polarization (Charge Separation), Radio Transmission, Technology Utilization

Scientific paper

Short-term forecasting of solar activity conducted at Toyokawa is briefly reviewed. The forecasts are based on microwave observations of the slowly varying component of solar radiation associated with active regions. It was found that for proton flares which take place in intense active regions, it is possible to predict their occurrence with certain accuracy, but for a certain class of proton flares which occur in a small active region or which are associated with an active region, which evolves very rapidly, or for whose which occur behind the limb, it is almost impossible to forecast their occurrence.

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