Drift analysis: A forgotten technique

Statistics

Scientific paper

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Astronomical Models, Body Kinematics, Statistical Analysis, Stellar Motions, Confidence Limits, Null Hypothesis, Schwarzschild Metric

Scientific paper

It is suggested that a priori judgements may generally still be of greater significance in the development of astronomical ideas than a posteriori statistics. The growth of ideas in the field of stellar kinematics during the first half of this century is examined, and it is shown that the undiscussed change from Kapteyn's two stream hypothesis to Schwarzschild's ellipsoidal hypothesis represents a near perfect example of paradigm switch. This switch has had one-sided and far-reaching implications for the understanding of galaxies.

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