The Future of Single-authored Papers

Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astronomy

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

For four sciences (astronomy, biology, chemistry, physics) I counted the fractions of single-authored papers in four journals for each science and during 1975-2005. The occurrences are best fit with exponential decays that never reach zero, implying that single-authored papers will continue to be published in the foreseeable future. This is contradictory to the predictions of their demise.

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